Wednesday, October 01, 2014

Football Future-see 2014: Week Six

Record


Week 1
8-2

Week 2
5-0

Week 3
Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
2-3
4-1
2-3
2-8

Total
23-17
0.575

UPDATE: This was an unmitigated disaster! Of the Top 25, #2, #3, #4, #6, #8, #14, #15, #16, #17, #18, and #19 all went down in defeat. That's eleven Top 25 schools losing on the same day. And yeah, it ruined my season. I went from 21-9 on Thursday morning to 23-17 today, after an ugly 2-8 weekend.

Welcome to a Super-Sized Ten Game Edition of the Right Wing’s Football Future-see. Week Six is loaded with high-profile games. In fact, the ten games I’m picking this week contain fifteen teams currently in the Top 25 (AP). Only one match-up of unranked teams lands on the slate, and that’s because it’s a matchup of traditional SEC East powers. There’s been some discussion about how much better the SEC West is in relation to the East. I’ll say this: The SEC West is just as much of a hot mess as the East, they just haven’t truly started beating up on each other yet. 

Also, after this week the first version of the Right Wing Top Ten will be released. 

The Games: 

Arizona at 2 Oregon (Thursday, 10:30pm, ESPN) 
42-16. That’s probably painted in bright, big numbers somewhere in the Oregon training facility. That’s how bad Arizona beat Oregon last season. At the time, the Wildcats had a record of 6-4 and were coming off a 24-17 home loss to a 4-5 Washington State team. That’s salt in the wound for the Ducks, especially considering Oregon had beaten that same WSU team 62-38. Oregon won’t let it happen again. Ducks QB Marcus Mariota will probably deliver a Heisman game tape here. (Of course, Oregon is coming off a close win over Washington State…) 
Final Score: Oregon 40, Arizona 17 

INCORRECT: Arizona won 31-24

Florida at Tennessee (Saturday, Noon, SEC Network) 
There was a time when this game decided the SEC East almost by defeault. Now, however, we have a tale of two teams. The Vols are a team on the rise. They’ll be in contention for the division crown by next year. Florida, conversely, seems to be in perpetual freefall. They look great one week, and then just barely skate by the next. Their QB does not inspire confidence, even in their most ardent supporters. That said, if this game were played in the Swamp, I’d probably have Florida winning. Being that it’s in Neyland Stadium, I think the Gators will hear “Rocky Top” several times. Vols win. 
Final Score: Tennessee 24, Florida 17 

INCORRECT: Florida won 10-9

6 Texas A&M at 12 Mississippi State (Saturday, Noon, ESPN) 
The Aggies are still riding high after their opening week crushing of South Carolina. Never mind that Arkansas exposed them as being susceptible to the run. Mississippi State is coming off a huge win over LSU. As I said in the opening paragraph, we’re getting to the point where the SEC West will being to cannibalize itself. The Bulldogs of Mississippi State are good, but I think Kenny Hill and the former Flying Johnny Footballs are better. Aggies win. 
Final Score: Texas A&M 42, Mississippi State 30 

INCORRECT: Mississippi State won 48-31

3 Alabama at 11 Ole Miss (Saturday3:30pm, CBS) 
ESPN’s College GameDay is traveling to the Grove for the first time. Ole Miss might be a tad over-ranked, but the Rebels are good. They have the most experienced QB in the conference. ‘Bama, meanwhile, has a nasty front seven on defense and they also have one of the best WRs in the nation in Amari Cooper. This game, I think will be much closer than several people think. Ole Miss may even have a chance at winning it. But in the end, I think the Tide is just too strong for Ole Miss. ‘Bama wins. 
Final Score: Alabama 35, Ole Miss 27 

INCORRECT: Ole Miss won 23-17

4 Oklahoma at 25 TCU (Saturday, 3:30pm, Fox) 
The only ranked match-up of Big XII teams on the docket this week comes from the Sooners visiting TCU. The Horned Frogs have clawed their way into the Top 25, which is unfortunate for them, because they’re about to get knocked out. I’m not going to lie, as much as this hurts to say, but Oklahoma may just be the best team in the country…given their schedule. Sooners win by at least two touchdowns. 
Final Score: Oklahoma 37, TCU 20 

INCORRECT: TCU won 37-31

14 Stanford at 9 Notre Dame (Saturday3:30pm, NBC) 
Notre Dame, like the SEC, gets a lot of good press based on its history. I truly think that’s why the Irish are in the Top 10. That’s not to say Notre Dame isn’t good. Stanford is also a good football team and will likely expose some of the Irish’s weaknesses. But I still think Notre Dame wins. If Everett Golson can remain upright against a typically nasty Cardinal front seven, then Notre Dame should celebrate a victory in South Bend. Irish win. 
Final Score: Notre Dame 24, Stanford 20 

INCORRECT: Notre Dame won 17-14

Vanderbilt at 13 Georgia (Saturday4:00pm, SEC Network) 
Georgia is an interesting team. Their offense is averaging just over 45 points per game, but the defense is giving up nearly 23 per game. The Dawgs rely on Todd Gurley and the deep stable of backs…that isn’t so deep any more. It’s basically Gurley and Chubb for this game. Should the Dawgs get some of their receivers back from injury, this one won’t be close. If they stay as they are with the roster, well, it still shouldn’t be close. Vanderbilt is bad. Sure they took South Carolina to the edge before losing, but they also lost to Temple, Ole Miss, and Kentucky and just barely got by UMass. Georgia should roll. 
Final Score: Georgia 45, Vanderbilt 14 

CORRECT: Georgia won 44-17

15 LSU at 5 Auburn (Saturday, 7:00pm, ESPN) 
LSU was the only team to hand Auburn a regular season loss last year. That game, though, was in LSU’s home stadium. The Bayou Bengals have to travel to The Plains for this game. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season. LSU lost to Mississippi State by virtue of not actually waking up for the game until the fourth quarter. Kansas State push Auburn to the brink before losing, but K-State kinda beat themselves. This one should be fun to watch. LSU is starting a new Quarterback and Auburn is trying to hold on to their spot on the cusp of the playoffs. Tigers win! (See what I did there?) Okay, seriously, I like LSU is a mild upset here. But, I liked Cincinnati in an upset last week and they lost by 3 TDs… 
Final Score: LSU 28, Auburn 24 

INCORRECT: Auburn won 41-7

Arizona State at 16 USC (Saturday7:30pm, Fox) 
I recently looked at Arizona State as an upset pick over UCLA. Instead, the Bruins thrashed the Sun Devils and went home with a win. Now, ASU travels to Southern Cal, where the Trojans are fast regaining their former swagger. I don’t expect the Sun Devils to win here, but I do look for a closer game than what happened against UCLA. Trojans win, but not running away. 
Final Score: USC 31, Arizona State 24 

INCORRECT: Arizona State won 38-34

19 Nebraska at 10 Michigan State (Saturday, 8:00pm, ESPN2) 
Think of this game as the last stand of the Big Ten in the college football playoff. Two situations arise here. Michigan State is more highly ranked, even though they have an ugly road loss to Oregon. Nebraska is more lowly ranked, though they are undefeated. In situation #1, Michigan State wins a solid game here, establishing themselves as the class of the conference, but leaving themselves potentially on the outside looking in at selection time. In situation #2, Nebraska wins, remaining undefeated and setting themselves up for a possible playoff run. The Big Ten as a whole might feel better about option #2, but option #1 is what will happen, even though it won’t be a “solid” win. Sparty wins a close game. 
Final Score: Michigan State 27, Nebraska 21 

CORRECT: Michigan State won 27-22

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