Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Football Future-see 2014: Week Four


Record


Week 1
8-2

Week 2
5-0

Week 3
Week 4
2-3
4-1

Total
19-6
0.760

While Week Two gave me my first perfect week, Week Three was almost an abject disaster. As it stands, it was just a barely mitigated disaster. Of course, I couldn’t control any of that.

Boston College stunned USC by simply outplaying the Trojans. Virginia defeated Louisville (I actually predicted UVA’s final score) even though I admitted that I could not call for the upset. And South Carolina beat Georgia, although a very good argument could be made that Georgia beat Georgia (I actually *almost* predicted UGA’s final score). This week looks to be even more difficult, with two SEC conference games, two match-ups of Top 25 teams, and the obligatory Georgia pick. 

The Games: 

5 Auburn at 20 Kansas State (Thursday7:30pm, ESPN) 
Thursday night road trip to the heart of Big XII country (read: the middle of nowhere; I’ve been to Manhattan, Kansas, and it is the middle of nowhere) might be a recipe for defeat for Auburn. K-State is now a Top 20 team and would love to hand Auburn a loss. The Tigers, though, are simply a better team. I like Auburn in this game, but I’m not going to be surprised if Kansas State keeps it a lot closer than it probably should be. 
Final Score: Auburn 30, Kansas State 20 

CORRECT: Auburn won 20-14

Troy at 13 Georgia (Saturday, Noon, SEC Network) 
This is a bad time for Troy to roll into Athens. Georgia will be looking to exorcise some demons from the loss to South Carolina. For Troy, the season has not gone well. The Trojans are 0-3 and are giving up 40 points per game. The Dawgs are averaging 40 points per game. I really can’t see this one being much of a contest, and I think that Mark Richt may have to take the binders off the offense in this game, just to let some of that aggression bleed out. Georgia rolls. (PS – I could go on at length about what went wrong for Georgia in Columbia, but I think beating down Troy would be better medicine than sitting around complaining.) 
Final Score: Georgia 56, Troy 14 
CORRECT: Georgia won 66-0

Florida at 3 Alabama (Saturday, 3:30pm, CBS) 
Will the real Florida Gators please stand up? A thrashing of Eastern Michigan was followed up by a triple OT home win over Kentucky. So no one really knows what Florida is bringing to the table. But the Gators better figure it out quick, as they go to Tuscaloosa on Saturday. Alabama has followed up their close victory over West Virginia with back-to-back wins by a combined score of 93-12. Alabama is settling into a groove with their QB position. I’m not sure Florida has enough to escape Tuscaloosa with a win. ‘Bama wins. 
Final Score:  Alabama 31, Florida 20 
CORRECT: Alabama won 42-21

Mississippi State at 8 LSU (Saturday7:00pm, ESPN) 
Two minutes, thirty-six seconds into the third quarter against Wisconsin. That’s the last time LSU gave up any points. That was August 30. Since then LSU has beaten Sam Houston 56-0 and UL-Monroe 31-0. Of course, they’ll be playing a little higher level of competition this weekend than the last two. Mississippi State is a dangerous team that comes to LSU with a 3-0 record and averaging nearly 44 points per game. But this will be their first test too. I like LSU to win, but MSU keeps it close. 
Final Score: LSU 28, Mississippi State 20 
INCORRECT: Mississippi State won 34-29

22 Clemson at 1 Florida State (Saturday8:00pm, ABC) 
This game will probably decide the ACC Atlantic Division, which is odd because it’s the first conference game for either team. Then again, in the same division is Boston College, who just knocked off USC. Florida State is still the #1 team in the country. Clemson was throttled by Georgia 45-21, but returned the next week to lay a massive beating on South Carolina State, 73-7. FSU meanwhile has only scored 37 points in each of their victories (Oklahoma State and Citadel). Expect both teams to bring their best to Doak Campbell Stadium Saturday night, but expect FSU to leave victorious. 
Final Score: FSU 45, Clemson 20 
CORRECT: Florida State won 23-17 in overtime

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