Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Football Future-see 2013: Week Four

RECORD
Week 1
8-2

Week 2
4-1

Week 3
4-1

Week 4
5-0

Week 5


Total
21-4
.840

It appears as though I’m a “B” Student. I've hit 80% correct so far this season. Nebraska let me down last week after a really solid opening half against UCLA. Otherwise, it was winners in the other four.  Getting 16 out of 20 correct so far is nice, but I’m still looking for the perfect week. At the end of week four last year I completed my second perfect week and had a 20-4 record through 24 games (since last year’s TAMU-LaTech game was postponed due to weather). Perhaps I get the perfect week this time out. I could’ve picked five really easy games, but that’s just not my style.

So what’s on deck this week? We have PAC-12 game, an FCS game, two SEC conference games, and the obligatory Georgia pick. There is only one Top 25 match-up this week (ASU at Stanford), so that seems a logical place for ESPN’s College Gameday, right? Wrong. Gameday will originate from FCS powerhouse North Dakota State University in Fargo. North Dakota State makes their first appearance on our slate, as does Delaware State, and North Texas.

23 Arizona State at 5 Stanford.....CORRECT
This is the only Top 25 match-up of the week, so it was an obvious addition to our slate of games, even if it didn’t warrant ESPN’s attention. Arizona State survived their game with Wisconsin thanks to a somewhat bonehead play by the Badgers’ QB and a referee that would not let Wisconsin snap the ball again. This week they face a much tougher test, so it looks like their Top 25 trip may be short-lived. Stanford plays some really good defense, so I’m being kind by giving ASU 24 points. Stanford by double digits. The bigger question here will be “can the PAC-12 referees redeem themselves by calling a fair and straightforward game?”
Final Score: Stanford 34, Arizona State 24

Delaware State at North Dakota State (#1 in FCS).....CORRECT
North Dakota State started 2013 with a bang, taking down Kansas State in Manhattan. The Bison now host College Gameday and a winless Delaware State team that has given up 40+ points in both loses. NDSU, meanwhile, is averaging 40 points per game. But the fans are not too happy with ESPN at the moment, as the Gameday crew is setting up shop in front of the Fargo Theater, about a three mile drive from the Fargodome (they’re really creative with the naming conventions in North Dakota). Gameday typically sets up near the stadium, so this is a departure from the norm, but ESPN claims it is being done to show the school, city, and state in the best light. Doesn’t speak highly for the Fargodome, eh? Bison roll in this one.
Final Score: North Dakota State 60, Delaware State 14

North Texas at 9 Georgia.....CORRECT
One has to think, after a close loss and then a big home win, that Mark Richt will take the binders off the offense in this game and let them run wild a little bit. Then again, for lack of a better term, North Texas is one of the little sisters of the poor, so Richt may take it easy on them. I can see the Mean Green scoring a couple of garbage time touchdowns, but this one won’t be close. Then again, the Dawgs rank 99th in the country in points allowed, although that was against two Top-10 teams. Aaron Murray and Todd Gurley may play the first half, but Georgia should be able to put up Oregon-type numbers this week. The spread, at time of writing, is Georgia by 32.5 points. The Dawgs under Mark Richt have not been a great team against the spread, but I really feel like this is a team that wants to bust out some offensive superiority heading in to their third match-up with a Top 10 team in the first four games. My head says the score here will be more like Georgia 42-24, but I’m going with the “heart” score below.
Final Score: Georgia 59, North Texas 17

Tennessee at 19 Florida.....CORRECT
Florida is in a bit of a funk. Losing to Miami will do that to you, especially when it was your own fault. One has to imagine that the Gators focused on ball security in the days since the Miami loss. After all, if Florida had not turned the ball over, the win would’ve been theirs. Tennessee, on the other hand, is coming off their worst loss in some time, having given up 59 points to Oregon. For that reason, the Vols may have a little more fire than Florida is expecting. Or…they may come out completely flat against the Gators. Being in the Swamp tilts this one in Florida’s favor, but I think the Gators will have more drive than Tennessee.
Final Score: Florida 27, Tennessee 18

Auburn at 6 LSU.....CORRECT
LSU wins, need I say more? I need to? Okay, here goes. LSU is playing some really good football, but I don’t think we’ll truly know who they are (as far as conference play is concerned) until next week, when they visit the Dawgs in Athens. Auburn is 3-0 this year, and finally got an SEC win last week. LSU is also 3-0, but is averaging a lot more scoring than Auburn. Even if this game were in Jordan-Hare Stadium on the Plains I don’t think I could call Auburn. LSU wins.
Final Score: LSU 31, Auburn 17

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